Abstract
The study evaluated the application of clustering and principal component analysis for modeling tree volume in Shasha forest reserve. Information on the present status of the resource is required for sustainable forest resource management. The data set used in this study was collected from 15 temporary sample plots of 30 m x 30 m dimensional square plots were established. Clustering Analysis was applied to distribute the observations into four different groups using k-means method. Four distance measures and methods were used to group the data from Shasha rain forest. The results of model selection indices on each cluster revealed that in cluster one, model three had the lowest model selection indices of RMSE (0.1404), MAE (0.0952), BIC (-10.2377) and AIC (-16.1279) when compared to models one, two and four (4). In cluster two, model three with RMSE (0.1932), MAE (0.1604), BIC (2.3226), AIC (-5.3092) was selected over models one, two and four as it had the smallest residuals of RMSE (0.1404) and MAE (0.0952). In cluster three, model four had the lowest model selection indices with RMSE (0.2642), MAE (0.203), BIC (14.0543) and AIC (10.3977) when compared to models one, two and three. In cluster four, model 3 had the lowest model selection indices with RMSE (0.2014), MAE (0.1440), BIC (6.2121) and AIC (8.1649) when compared to models one, two and four. The results of the model selection indices on the fifteen (15) sample plots showed that model three had the lowest model selection indices with RMSE (0.1992), MAE (0.1602), AIC (-23.8572) and BIC (-11.5277) when compared to models one, two and four. Hence, model three is most suitable for tree volume predictions in the study area. The application of this management tools in forest modeling aids in prescribing sustainable management strategies for shasha forest reserve.
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